Let's
not worry much about criticism of the Pentagon's decision to show the
images of the late Uday and Qusay Hussein -- RNIP, Rest Not In Peace.
Instead, let's worry about what's not being said about the targeting of
specific individuals, as history and technology torque up the cycle of
attack, defense, and revenge.
The criticism of the
On
the homefront, some American politicians were also rejectionist. Rep.
Charlie Rangel mocked the military operation on the Fox News Channel,
telling Sean Hannity, "We have a law on the books that the
Meanwhile,
Rep. Dick Gephardt accused the Bush administration of "chest beating"
in the wake of the deaths. But in point of fact, the White House has
been restrained. On July 23, President George W. Bush commented upon
the news in Joe-Friday-like deadpan: "Yesterday ... the careers of two
of the regime's chief henchmen came to an end."
The
folks that haven't been so restrained are mostly in the media. On CNN,
a huge chyron bannered the word "TRUMPED" across the screen, as a play
on the dead men's deck-of-cards monikers. And the Washington Times
ran a headline, "Bush hails death of dictator's two sons." Well, it's
fair to say that W. wasn't displeased by the news, but he also wasn't
visibly gloating.
In
fact, there is one good reason not to gloat, and that reason applies to
any American president. Across the sweep of world history, the wheel of
military strategy is turning yet again; indeed, it is coming 'round
full circle, to the point where political leaders and their families
are once more becoming major targets.
In
the mists of the past, tribal chief fought tribal chief, and the winner
took all. In the Book of Samuel, Chapter 17, Goliath, champion of the
Philistines, calls out to the Israelites, "Choose you a man for you,
and let him come down to me. If he be able to fight with me, and to
kill me, then will we be your servants: but if I prevail against him,
and kill him, then shall ye be our servants, and serve us." The
Israelites sent out David and his slingshot, and the rest is history,
sort of.
But
more recently, the struggle among nations has been handled in a much
different way. Instead of king facing king, the king sent out an army,
which would face the other king's army. And often, in the meantime, the
warring parties would keep in touch, using back channels, or even
relatives. During World War I, for example, the crowned heads of the
combatant countries were oftentimes close relatives; George V of
Given
those relationships, it was easy for leaders to see war in purely
Clausewitzian terms. That is, when diplomacy failed, countries went to
war with each other, pursuing their politics by further, nastier means.
But it was increasingly rare that sovereigns were in any battlefield
danger; the last British monarch actually to lead troops into battle
was George II at the Battle of Dettingen in 1743.
In
some ways, this wasn't a bad system; the relationships of those at the
top echelons of power, formed by blood and class, kept war from
erupting into genocidal totality. That is, if leaders believed that
they would still be dealing with each other after the war, the
incentive to terror-bomb cities and massacre populations was
diminished. But at the same time, the notion that young men would fight
and die while their overseers pondered their political options did not
sit well with public opinion -- not to mention those who were fighting
and dying. Indeed, the contrast between the horrors of trench warfare
of 1914-18 and the luxe life lived in the respective capitals was one
factor provoking the left- and right-wing revolutions that ensued.
The
idea of a wargame-of-nations broke down completely in World War II, as
the warring regimes rotated to new point on the historical wheel, in
which everything was permitted. Why? Because the regimes were either a)
so absolutely antithetical to each other, or b) so absolutely evil,
that little or no military restraint seemed appropriate. To be sure,
the British hesitated at first to bomb Germany, but when the Nazis
proved they had no compunctions about bombing British population
centers, Winston Churchill -- and soon, his ally, Franklin Roosevelt --
responded in kind. And of course, in the Ost, neither
Adolf Hitler nor Josef Stalin, nor their respective hierarchs,
entertained any notion of getting along with the other, ever. Thus when
the Allies overran Germany in 1945, they were at pains to make sure
that all top Nazis were either dead or on their way to the gallows or
prison cells.
But
in the last half-century, the historical wheel has rotated yet again.
Peace as a value is held more dearly today, and the sort of
ultra-violence that was common in World War II -- and could be
amplified one-thousand-fold today -- is deemed to play poorly on
television. It would have been unimaginable, for example, for the U.S.
to have blasted Serbia in the 90s, or Iraq in 2003, the way we
carpet-bombed Vietnam in the 60s. Today, the great powers -- especially
The Great Power -- are at pains to proclaim that they are unleashing
high-cost, high-tech weaponry to hit carefully high-value targets. And
while there's a tendency among many to mock the term "surgical
strikes," that term is, in fact, fitting, at least when applied to the
U.S. military. I was in Baghdad in June, and can attest that I saw very
little bomb damage. Indeed, when I came across buildings that were
bombed, oftentimes I could see an apartment house or mosque nearby that
wasn't harmed at all.
Thus
the irony, as history and technology braid together into yet another
knot. After thousands of years, we're now back to the ancient idea of
leaders facing off, in effect, against other leaders. The Bush
administration, confronted with a low tolerance for collateral damage
in Iraq, and a low tolerance for American casualties at home, elected
upon a daring strategy for the war in Iraq. On March 19, the Pentagon
fired cruise missiles at a target in Baghdad, acting on a tip that
Saddam Hussein might be there. The gamble appears to have failed;
Saddam is generally -- although not unanimously -- believed to have
survived the blast. Yet from an operational point of view, it was worth
the shot; the history of the last four months might have been much
different had Saddam died in that bunker.
But here's the catch: the idea of targeting leaders isn't exclusive to the United States. In high-stakes realpolitik,
there's reaction, as well as action, and those reactions don't always
require the highest of tech, which was the mordant point made by
Charlie Rangel in that appearance on "Hannity & Colmes." As he
said, "We tried to assassinate Castro and we paid dearly for it... When
you personalize the war and you say you're killing someone's kids, then
they, in turn, think they can kill somebody."
On
this matter of assassinations, at least, Rangel and I think alike. We
both seem to agree that an international game of tit-for-tat was being
played in the early 60s -- and the U.S. got tatted. It's a matter of
public record that the Kennedy administration tried to assassinate
Fidel Castro, employing various gimmicks and goombahs. And to some of
us, at least, it's always seemed evident that Lee Harvey Oswald was the
trigger-puller in Dallas on November 22, 1963. But it's also seemed
evident that Fidel Castro -- perhaps with some Soviet help -- was the
string-puller. Consider: Oswald defected to the USSR in 1959, got
married, had a baby. But then, amazingly, all three of them -- Oswald,
plus his Soviet-born wife and child -- were allowed to leave Russia in
1962. Upon returning to the U.S., Oswald bounced around Texas and
Louisiana, all the while subscribing to communist publications,
corresponding with friends in the Soviet Union, agitating on behalf of
Castro's Cuba, and plotting to kill various Americans. Including, most
fatefully, John F. Kennedy, the longtime nemesis of that man in Havana.
So
while speculation about who shot JFK continues to run rampant, I guess
Rangel and I are wielding the same Ockham's Razor; the straightest line
connects Oswald to communism, not to the CIA, H.L. Hunt, or the mafia.
Yet the dilemma for American officialdom, in the wake of JFK's death,
was what to do with these suspicions. Should the Warren Commission have
followed that trail wherever it went? Even to the implication of Castro
and, possibly, the Kremlin? To a retaliatory strike? To World War III?
No. So the decision was made, I surmise, to stand back from the brink,
to a shifting of the investigation to a less world-ending direction.
But the logical leaps needed to skip over Castro's likely complicity
ripped the logic of the government's case, thus leaving plenty of
loopholes for others to exploit for their own purposes. Thus we have
suffered through four decades of wild speculation, disconnected from
the main evidentiary trail. Of course, it can still be argued that such
speculation has been preferable to nuclear incineration.
Meanwhile,
the business of targeted killings continues. The U.S. probably tried to
kill Saddam in 1991, when bunker-buster bombing was much less precise.
Two years later, Saddam staged a plot to assassinate former president
George H.W. Bush in Kuwait. Two years ago, al Qaida apparently aimed to
kill this President Bush -- as well as, presumably, the U.S. Congress
-- by crashing passenger jets into Washington D.C.
Yet
after March 19, any remaining doubt that Uncle Sam is willing to target
foreign leaders has been removed. Most likely, we'll soon get Saddam,
just as we did Uday and Qusay. And that's a good thing.
But
now the world is on notice. Other leaders who think they might be on
our hit list are likely to take counter-measures of their own,
especially since they must realize, all the more clearly that they have
no chance on the conventional battlefield. Some will be passive
measures, such as improving their own security procedures. But some
might be active counter-measures. And what, precisely, do I mean by
active counter-measures? Maybe I'd better not say. But ask Rangel. Or
ask Castro.









Leave a comment
NOTE: If you commented previously on TCSDaily.com, you may use your old username and password to log in.