There was
something particularly revealing about Javier Solana's comments addressed
to a group of Italian ambassadors recently, when he stated that "the
US must treat the European Union as a full partner in an effective and balanced
partnership," and "The European Union has to show the US that it is
worthy of that title."
This yet again illustrates a mindset in the EU -- despite
its inherent anti-Americanism -- of intense jealousy of the US. And the outward manifestation is
an almost child-like determination to prove that "Europe" is at least
as good as, if not better than, the US, in every possible way.
It is that ethos, as much as anything, that has driven the EU to commit £3
billion or more to the Galileo satellite navigation and positioning system -- despite
the provision by the US of their "free-to-all" GPS
system. Much the same thinking drives the determination of the EU to maintain
its own space programme, and to fund Airbus with such generous subsidies.
But this thinking is also driving the EU military procurement programme, to the
extent that anything the US has, the EU must have too. This is most
obvious in the pursuit of the A400M large military transport aircraft, despite
the availability of proven US designs, which are undoubtedly cheaper
and in many respects better.
However, this drive to match the US now seems to be pushing the EU -- and
the UK in particular -- into making another
blunder in military procurement, of Eurofighter proportions in expenditure
terms, and drive UK defence up a cul-de-sac from
which it may never recover. That "blunder" is called FRES, standing
for "Future Rapid Effects System."
Although it
seems to have formed the centrepiece of defence minister Geoff Hoon's recently
announced Strategic Defence Review, very few people know anything about FRES.
All we know is that Hoon is relying on it as the technological fix that will
enable him to cut back on human resources -- like soldiers. By this means, he
thinks he will have bundles of cash left to give Gordon, to spend on the bureaucrats
running schools 'n' hospitals, to say nothing of the 3,500 office chairs in the
Department of Defence, at a cool £1,000 each.
That so few
people are aware of what FRES actually is can hardly be surprising. Two years
ago, Gregory Fetter, a senior land-warfare analyst at Forecast
International/DMS, observed that it was "too early to try to figure out
what FRES will look like ...It's like trying to grab a cloud of smoke."
And, as late
as March of this year, Nicholas Soames, shadow defence secretary -- in a debate
in the Commons on defence policy -- noted that defence contractors had been
"anxiously awaiting a decision from the Government on the future rapid
effects system battlefield vehicle that the Chief of the General Staff requires
to be in service by 2009, but for which there is not yet even a drawing".
Small wonder
that, in the report of the defence select committee published today, the
committee expressed concern that the proposed in-service date of 2009
"will not be met".
So what is
FRES?
The quote
from Soames actually give some clue. He calls it a "battlefield
vehicle", but it is more than that. It is a whole family of vehicles which
are intended for the Army of the 21st Century, equipping it for its role as a
rapid reaction force. It will enable it to deal quickly and effectively with
trouble spots around the world, with maximum efficiency and the minimum
expenditure of manpower. At least, that is how the propaganda goes.
For that,
the government is preparing to sink around £6 billion into buying 900 vehicles,
with an estimated budget for the total costs of ownership over the expected
30-year service life of almost £50 billion. That is a staggering £6.7 million
average cost to buy each vehicle and an unbelievable life-time cost per vehicle
-- yes, each vehicle -- of £55.5 million. To say that it would be cheaper to
drive our troops into battle in a fleet of top-of-the-range Rolls-Royces hardly
begins to illustrate the extravagance.
Whatever the
merits of the vehicles -- and these will be discussed shortly -- the point is
that FRES is not a British, or even European idea. It is copied from a US
military programme known as FCS, or "Future Combat System." This is
an armoured vehicle family designed as a "system of systems", operating
in a network, fully equipped with the latest in electronics, combat systems and
weapons, all inter-linked through satellite communications. And because the
Americans are having it, "Europe" must have it as well.
Furthermore,
although Hoon is highlighting it in his own defence review, FRES has very much
become a "European" project. Such are the vast development costs that
no single European nation can afford them, so it will have to become another of
those joint programmes of which the Eurofighter project is the model.
Already, the
European skills at designing just what is needed are coming to the fore. A
fore-runner of FRES was the tri-nation programme to develop what was known as
the MRAV -- the "multi-role armoured vehicle", funded by the UK,
German and Dutch governments and managed by the European armaments agency,
OCCAR (Organization for Joint Armament Cooperation).
In a mirror
image of the Eurofighter project, the French were also originally involved, but
they pulled out to produce their own vehicle called the VBCI. Perhaps this was
just as well for, after the expenditure of untold millions, the tri-nation
consortium produced a prototype which they named the Boxer, only to find that
at 33 tons, it was too heavy for airborne rapid deployment.
But the
European involvement has not yet ended -- not by any means. Despite honeyed
words from the DoD to UK manufacturers, the leading contender for building FRES
is a German firm, Rheinmetall DeTec. Should its designs be accepted, the
outcome will undoubtedly be the formation of another European consortium to
build it, as national sensibilities would not allow British forces to be
equipped with German-built machines. And, with costs already escalating, we
have another Eurofighter in the making.
So where
does this leave us?
Here the
political element comes in. Effectively, we are committing ourselves to
enormous expenditure to buy "state of the art" but wholly unproven
equipment, primarily to allow British armed forces to take part in what will
almost certainly be an EU "rapid reaction force". The bulk of our new
spending on procurement for the Army is being designated to that end.
Effectively, to play a leading role in this force, we must have FRES. That is
solely because FRES is what the US "rapid reaction force" will have
and if the Americans have it, we (the Europeans) must have it too.
However, no
one seems to be addressing the question as to whether FRES is actually a good
idea -- or necessary. Certainly, it may be suitable for the US, which is
wealthier and can afford both new technology and maintain its existing force
levels. Here, if we have to cut back out forces, in order to buy the technology
-- as Hoon is doing -- we may have the worst end of the deal.
But even in
the US, there are serious voices being raised, warning against the
over-reliance on military technology in battle zones, noting that doctrine and
tactics are equally important, if not more so, and that the human element is
the vital factor.
On the UK
front, we are getting into an even more serious situation where the costs of
military "assets" is now so huge that we cannot afford to use them in
combat zones where their loss might be threatened. Where an Iraqi insurgent can
buy an RPG7 in a Baghdad bazaar for $20, it is a brave military commander that
will risk a machine worth nearly £8 million, when it can be taken out with one
round loosed off by a teenager.
Not for
nothing, it should be noted, are US forces now patrolling the streets of
Baghdad in Vietnam-era M113 armoured personnel carriers. They might not afford
as good protection as the proposed FRES -- or its US-equivalent -- (although
neither will protect from an RPG7) but at least they are affordable, and
available.
Whether the
Europeans will learn this lesson is debatable, and unlikely. Certainly, it
looks like Hoon has bought into the European dream -- that anything the US has,
we must have too. Furthermore, he seems willing to bankrupt our forces to pay
for it. There seems nothing now that can stop us lurching into another blunder
of Eurofighter proportions.
The author is a freelance writer and political analyst.








