What a
terrific guy that Vladimir Putin must be. Here we all were, worried silly about
the chance of
There was a point in time when
geopolitical cynics might have worried that
Of course, it is always possible
that Mr. Putin has not have read Francis Fukuyama's book, The End of History.
Indeed, Mr. Putin may not yet have realized that the new world order that
emerged with the collapse of the USSR constituted the end of all further
struggles for power and dominance among peoples and nations. Or, possibly, just
possibly, he might not be at all happy with a permanent world order in which
the USA is the lone Superpower, and his own once mighty nation, Russia, is
reduced to a mere second or third fiddle.
This, after all, is one of the
tickly points about the end of history. Those societies that have declared an
end to history have done so at precisely the point at which they have achieved
an enormous victory over their rivals in a long and often bloody power
struggle.
For example, the first man to declare
himself Emperor of China, Shih Huang Ti, also proclaimed an end of history in
221 B.C. He had, through a series of protracted wars, achieved complete
dominance over
About five hundred years later, the
Roman Christian writer Lactantius would survey the triumph that Constantine the
Great had achieved over his rivals in his struggle for supremacy, and he too
would declare that history had come to an end. Peace and harmony would rule,
and, once again, the newly emerged world order would be permanent and
unchangeable.
The same conclusion was drawn by the
Allies after their victory in the Great War, which Woodrow Wilson had dubbed
"the war to end all war," very much in the spirit of Shih Huang Ti.
The defeated Germans, however, did
not like the position on the new map that had been assigned to them. Having
once been a great power, they could not suppress the desire to become a great
power once again, and to create a new map of
Can we really expect the Russians to
feel much different?
Herein lies the nemesis of all those
who have rashly presumed to declare an end to history after a power struggle in
which they emerged victorious. Understandably, they wish to think that all such
struggles are behind them. Naturally, they wish to believe that the settlement
they have achieved will be permanent and everlasting. Yet the mere fact that
they have achieved dominance and supremacy entails that somewhere there will be
those who have lost in their own struggle to achieve the same goal--those who
refuse to accept the winner's verdict that history is over and done with, and
who patiently, or impatiently, await the day when they can begin the struggle
for supremacy all over again.
The question is not what
Lee Harris
is author of Civilization
and Its Enemies.









Putin's new son
Did you hear about Putin having a new son? He was so impressed with Cheney's staff work that he named his son Scouter Putin.
Great article
Or, possibly, just possibly, he might not be at all happy with a permanent world order in which the USA is the lone Superpower, and his own once mighty nation, Russia, is reduced to a mere second or third fiddle.
This made me laugh, though the subject is not funny.
Part of the problem, I think, is that our politicians and diplomats are used to socializing with their civilized counterparts from not-so-civilized places, and they refuse to believe how hostile to America some countries are, both their populaces and their governments. Most people in Saudi Arabia are not Oxford-educated sheiks, and most Russians are incredibly bitter towards the US.
Russia is our friend. Islam is religion of peace. American politicians left and right are full of wishful thinking. Thank you, Lee Harris, for trying to change that.
But seriously....Uranium enrichment
Two weeks ago Bush announced a global agreement to encourage Russia, the US, France, and Japan to sell low enriched uranium (LEU) to countries and, more importantly, to take back the nuclear waste.
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/02/20060218.html
This is important as it means that there is a global market for suppliers of LEU to fuel power reactors and that that Russia can now bid on taking nuclear waste from other countries.
Re Iran, they can justify power reactors that use LEU if Russia will ensure that the spent fuel, now containing small amounts of reactor-grade plutonium, is returned to Russia. If subject to international verification and inspection, this would remove (at least) the cover story for Iranian nuclear development.
It also means that the US could outsource Yucca Mountain to Russia at a savings of tens of billions of dollars. Already, 10% of US electricity is fueled from Russian LEU that was once warheads and submarine cores.
I agree that Putin is playing a risky game with Iran, one that does not seem in Russia's best interests.
Russia--the end of history
The article was great! Putin, in his autobiography and other works, has made it clear that he thinks glasnost and the dissolution of the Soviet Union was a big mistake. He's been trying to rebuild the Russian Federation ever since.
His PhD thesis (University of Leningrad) espoused the theory that Russia's natural resources were crucial to its economic and political success; hence, Russia's "fueling" China, its control of the Caucuses' natural resources, and its failed attempt at controlling Ukrainian oil supplies.
To Putin, energy, including LEU, is power. Imagine what would happen to China and the US if Russia cut off China's energy supplies or doubled its prices for energy?
Energy--who benefits?
Finally, who IS really benefitting from the US and UK involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan? The Iraqis? The US? The UK? No, Russia--Russia reaps the most benefits from the US' and UK's efforts to weed out terrorists that also have been threatening Russian national security and its oil interests in the Caucuses.
Considering that Russia indirectly controls the Chinese and American economies by controlling China's energy sources and that Russia exerts considerable influence on India, Putin, in his chess game, is poising Russia to the ultimate checkmate for #1 superpower status.
slight revision to last posting
Finally, who IS really benefitting from the US and UK involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan? The Iraqis? The US? The UK? No, Russia--Russia reaps the most benefits from the US' and UK's efforts to weed out terrorists that also have been threatening Russia's national security and its oil interests in the Caucuses.
Considering that Russia indirectly controls the Chinese and American economies by controlling China's energy sources and that Russia exerts considerable influence on India, Putin, in his geopolitical chess game, is positioning Russia for the ultimate checkmate for #1 superpower status.
correction
Oops! Please substitute "Central Asia" for Caucasus.
RobinC